Sunday, March 03, 2013

Sick as a commentator, much less a parrot

Induction at its very worst.  Alan Green opened his commentary of Tottenham Hotspur versus Arsenal with "There have been 33 goals between these two sides in the last six games so it's unlikely to be a 0-0."  Because this happened in the past, it will happen in the future.  David Hume would tear him to pieces.
On a purely statistical basis, to date Arsenal have the meanest defensive away record and Spurs have a relatively mediocre home-scoring record (for a top five side).  As I conclude this, 25 minutes have been played and it is 0-0.  I, though, am not claiming that this is how the game will turn out.  I will posit, in a Popperian falsification, that, based on the season's evidence, the game will end in a draw.  At the end of 90 minutes (plus injury time) this will be falsified or confirmed, though I doubt science will benefit much.

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