Tuesday, April 14, 2015

Tourists go now while the chance is still there

When the USSR ceased to exist on Christmas Day 1991, President George Bush as he was then simply known (middle initials HW requiring addition from 2001 onwards) went on national television and intoned seriously about the 'end of communism'.  That the most populous country in the world was still communist, former adversaries North Korea and Vietnam maintained their socialist regimes and a small country ninety miles of the coast of America seemed to elude him.
Cuba, which had slipped the then president's mind at the time, was being deliberately recognised by a successor.  But when Barack Obama declaimed that the "Cold War was over," he wasn't forgetting about East Asia, but providing a rationale for burying the hatchet with Havana.  Shaking hands with Raúl Castro is a defining moment and it take a brave president to break off relations now, despite Marco Rubio's protestations.  Finally, Cuba will begin the shed its battered Fifties timewarp reality and the lives of the people will improve.  It's not foregone that a middle-class will lead to democracy but it's more likely that Cuba will now come under pressure from its neighbours to liberalise now that it is no longer a martyr.

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