Wednesday, November 25, 2015

Boys with their toys

In the James Bond film Goldeneye, the Bond 'girl' verbally chastises both 007 and the Russian minister who are engaged in a heated argument (stemming from Cold War holdover suspicions), "You're just like boys with toys."  After Turkey shot down a Russian fighter-bomber that probably deliberately crossed into its airspace (to thumb its nose at Ankara), both Turkish and Russian presidents have engaged in mutually recriminations over who really was to blame.  I can just imagine Putin and Erdogan as two little boys squaring up to each other as they excessively bawl their eyes out, each holding a toy fighter plane, the toy in Putin's hand broken.
It is rich of Putin to talk of being 'stabbed in the back by accomplices of terrorists' (although why you would turn your back on those you regard as accomplices of terrorists is a mystery - but don't expect Putin or his cronies to talk rationally), given that, bar a few desultory strikes against Daesh, most Russian bombing has taken place against non-Daesh rebels, significantly entrenching Daesh and even allowing it to advance closer to Aleppo.  As with the Moscow Theatre Siege and the Beslan Siege, mass civilian casualties from the destruction of the Sharm el-Sheikh airliner has not ostensibly changed Russian policy in Syria (as analysts predicted), which is to eliminate the non-Daesh rebels so as to embarrass the West into a binary choice between Assad or Daesh. 
Russian provocations into Turkish airspace may not be of the scale of Sir Francis Drake 'singeing the beard of the King of Spain' but Moscow had been warned on two previous occasions that incursions would be shot down and in the five minutes before yesterday's encounter, the Russian pilots were warned more than a dozen times to change course.  They didn't and so they were blown out of the sky, killing one of the pilots who fell into the hands of rebels (apparently the other pilot is safe but we only have the Russian word for that and after years of misinformation, nothing the Kremlin says is credible - even if a man is paraded on TV, we have no way of verifying if this is that pilot).  The corollary was that the Russians also lost a helicopter and a soldier that gone out to recover their comrades in a rebel attack.  Such is the price paid for being a dick in foreign relations.

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